Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Tkachuk 56.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 84.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Henrique
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
56.8% (139)
-0.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
60.6% (94)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
100.0% (1)
-49.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
53.5% (215)
50.4% (121)
Away
55.2% (306)
67.3% (113)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
57.7%
57.1%
P2
53.8%
60.0%
P3
51.6%
58.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |