Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Tkachuk 52.1% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 87.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Henrique
Tkachuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
47.9% (192)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
57.8% (187)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
0.0% (1)
+47.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tkachuk
Home
56.4% (553)
56.0% (175)
Away
50.0% (530)
49.8% (205)
By Period
Henrique
Tkachuk
P1
51.7%
55.0%
P2
55.5%
51.9%
P3
52.5%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
77.8%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%