Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Larkin 52.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 64.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Henrique
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
51.8% (903)
+2.6%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
56.0% (225)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
47.4% (76)
-1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larkin
Home
55.3% (237)
55.6% (662)
Away
55.8% (260)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Henrique
Larkin
P1
53.5%
49.9%
P2
64.8%
52.7%
P3
47.3%
53.0%
OT
58.3%
68.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |