Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Larkin 52.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Henrique
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Henrique
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
51.7% (878)
+4.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
58.5% (246)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
48.2% (166)
+2.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larkin
Home
53.5% (215)
52.4% (647)
Away
55.2% (306)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Henrique
Larkin
P1
57.7%
52.2%
P2
53.8%
53.1%
P3
51.6%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |