Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Larkin 54.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 63.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Henrique
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Henrique
Larkin
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Henrique
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
6
Henrique
Larkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
53.6% (886)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
59.3% (317)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
48.7% (152)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larkin
Home
53.1% (339)
56.6% (700)
Away
49.1% (330)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Henrique
Larkin
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
48.6%
54.7%
P3
54.2%
52.7%
OT
70.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |