Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Evans 49.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 76.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Henrique
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
51.3% (739)
+3.1%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
53.3% (15)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
43.0% (172)
+3.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Henrique
Evans
Home
55.3% (237)
52.1% (503)
Away
55.8% (260)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Henrique
Evans
P1
53.5%
50.5%
P2
64.8%
47.7%
P3
47.3%
51.3%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |