Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 52.0%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Evans 51.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 66.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 57.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Henrique
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Henrique
Evans
Last 7: Henrique 6-1 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
54.5% (483)
-2.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
58.3% (12)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
43.9% (155)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Henrique
Evans
Home
53.1% (339)
49.4% (336)
Away
49.1% (330)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Henrique
Evans
P1
48.5%
55.8%
P2
48.6%
51.7%
P3
54.2%
48.2%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |