Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Evans 52.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 56.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Henrique
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Evans
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Henrique
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Henrique
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
54.4% (824)
+3.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
66.7% (9)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
48.1% (289)
-2.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Henrique
Evans
Home
56.4% (518)
55.1% (541)
Away
54.9% (492)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Henrique
Evans
P1
56.0%
51.8%
P2
55.2%
53.3%
P3
56.2%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |