Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Evans 52.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 76.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Henrique
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Henrique
Evans
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
10
2
Henrique
Evans
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
8
Henrique
Evans
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Henrique
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.8% (3,695)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
60.0% (70)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
47.1% (1,222)
-0.9%
On power play, Evans has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Henrique
Evans
Home
52.5% (6,418)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Henrique
Evans
P1
50.6%
54.0%
P2
51.4%
50.9%
P3
50.2%
52.0%
OT
40.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |