Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.6%). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Staal 55.1% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Henrique
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
57.2% (740)
-1.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
67.0% (88)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
43.9% (187)
+10.3%
On power play, Staal has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
53.2% (173)
55.4% (518)
Away
55.9% (256)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
58.9%
53.6%
P2
54.9%
56.6%
P3
50.0%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%