Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 50.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Henrique
Staal
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Henrique
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
56.3% (1,115)
-4.4%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
61.2% (67)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
52.1% (292)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
53.1% (339)
58.3% (705)
Away
49.1% (330)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
48.5%
54.5%
P2
48.6%
58.2%
P3
54.2%
54.1%
OT
70.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |