Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Staal 56.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Henrique
Staal
Last 6: Henrique 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Henrique
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
58.9% (1,041)
-4.5%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
53.4% (73)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
49.1% (171)
-2.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
55.3% (237)
59.0% (578)
Away
55.8% (260)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
53.5%
57.1%
P2
64.8%
60.9%
P3
47.3%
55.8%
OT
58.3%
20.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |