Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Henrique
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
58.9% (1,096)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
68.4% (57)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
51.8% (222)
-4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
56.4% (553)
57.0% (646)
Away
50.0% (530)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
51.7%
55.9%
P2
55.5%
55.4%
P3
52.5%
62.0%
OT
66.7%
70.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |