Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Staal 54.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Henrique
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
57.0% (1,017)
+0.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
57.7% (26)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
45.1% (286)
+0.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
56.4% (518)
54.3% (667)
Away
54.9% (492)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
56.0%
56.2%
P2
55.2%
57.0%
P3
56.2%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |