Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 53 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 80-64 in 144 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 71.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
80
(144 meetings)
64
80
Henrique
Staal
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
23
29
Henrique
Staal
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
23
30
Henrique
Staal
53 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
18
21
Henrique
Staal
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
55.9% (14,620)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
48.0% (2,896)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
52.5% (6,418)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
50.6%
55.2%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
50.2%
54.9%
OT
40.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |