Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 49.1% vs Staal 50.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Henrique
Staal
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
2
Henrique
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
5
Henrique
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
2
Henrique
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (509)
49.7% (662)
+1.2%
Power Play
46.4% (97)
61.2% (103)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
44.3% (149)
-5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
49.4% (326)
50.0% (446)
Away
48.6% (354)
50.2% (468)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
53.4%
49.5%
P3
44.2%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |