Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs Staal 54.1% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 76.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Staal
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
55.3% (1,171)
-11.5%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
56.6% (173)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
42.9% (133)
+4.4%
On power play, Staal has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
45.3% (422)
54.7% (720)
Away
43.5% (496)
54.0% (757)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
44.3%
51.2%
P2
44.1%
57.4%
P3
45.5%
54.6%
OT
26.7%
52.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |