Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.4%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Staal 54.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Henrique
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Henrique
Staal
Last 8: Henrique 0-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Henrique
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Henrique
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Henrique
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
54.2% (943)
-0.7%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
69.6% (79)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
50.8% (262)
+0.1%
On power play, Staal has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Henrique
Staal
Home
57.4% (467)
55.0% (593)
Away
52.7% (463)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Henrique
Staal
P1
55.4%
54.3%
P2
56.7%
53.5%
P3
54.0%
55.2%
OT
22.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |