Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Henrique
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
O'Reilly
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Henrique
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
51.5% (194)
-7.7%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
52.3% (107)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
51.4% (70)
-4.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Henrique
O'Reilly
Home
45.3% (422)
50.3% (185)
Away
43.5% (496)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Henrique
O'Reilly
P1
44.3%
51.0%
P2
44.1%
48.9%
P3
45.5%
53.3%
OT
26.7%
68.8%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |