Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 87.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 71.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Henrique
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Henrique
O'Reilly
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
10
1
Henrique
O'Reilly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Henrique
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
56.1% (690)
-4.2%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
64.6% (96)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
45.9% (109)
-3.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Henrique
O'Reilly
Home
53.1% (339)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.1% (330)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Henrique
O'Reilly
P1
48.5%
57.7%
P2
48.6%
54.8%
P3
54.2%
55.2%
OT
70.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |