Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.9%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 59.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 76.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Henrique
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Henrique
O'Reilly
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
7
Henrique
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Henrique
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
55.0% (1,084)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
56.8% (303)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
40.3% (149)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Henrique
O'Reilly
Home
56.4% (553)
54.8% (759)
Away
50.0% (530)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Henrique
O'Reilly
P1
51.7%
55.3%
P2
55.5%
51.9%
P3
52.5%
54.2%
OT
66.7%
64.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |