Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Henrique
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Henrique
O'Reilly
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Henrique
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Henrique
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
58.6% (841)
-4.0%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
59.9% (207)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
58.1% (148)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Henrique
O'Reilly
Home
58.1% (310)
59.8% (594)
Away
51.9% (237)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Henrique
O'Reilly
P1
56.1%
61.7%
P2
53.6%
56.2%
P3
55.7%
59.5%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |