Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Mercer 37.5% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 76.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 91.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Lowry
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Lowry
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Mercer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
35.4% (548)
+20.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
42.9% (35)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
0.0% (7)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mercer
Home
53.4% (515)
39.9% (283)
Away
52.6% (549)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Lowry
Mercer
P1
54.2%
37.7%
P2
54.4%
32.1%
P3
50.8%
37.7%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |