Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Mercer 46.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Lowry
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Mercer
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Lowry
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Mercer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
43.6% (241)
+5.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
50.0% (14)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
70.0% (10)
-27.4%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mercer
Home
50.2% (671)
41.7% (120)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Lowry
Mercer
P1
48.4%
44.6%
P2
50.1%
45.4%
P3
47.8%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |