Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Staal 58.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 74.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
12
(13 meetings)
1
12
Lowry
Staal
Last 10: Lowry 1-9 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
8
Lowry
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Lowry
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
59.1% (888)
-7.7%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
66.9% (121)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
52.6% (156)
-4.8%
On power play, Staal has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
52.9% (680)
61.2% (600)
Away
48.5% (615)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
51.5%
57.5%
P2
51.5%
60.1%
P3
49.3%
59.1%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |