Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 61.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
56.1% (955)
-0.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
66.9% (142)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
43.0% (242)
-2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
54.5% (402)
55.4% (663)
Away
53.3% (368)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
52.4%
55.1%
P2
56.0%
54.7%
P3
54.2%
53.9%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |