Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lowry
Staal
Last 8: Lowry 5-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
56.3% (1,115)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
61.2% (67)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
52.1% (292)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
52.4% (597)
58.3% (705)
Away
48.4% (583)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
48.5%
54.5%
P2
52.2%
58.2%
P3
50.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |