Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Staal 54.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
57.0% (1,017)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
57.7% (26)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
45.1% (286)
-2.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
53.0% (583)
54.3% (667)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
52.1%
56.2%
P2
51.8%
57.0%
P3
52.3%
49.7%
OT
25.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |