Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Staal 57.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 62.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lowry
Staal
Last 9: Lowry 3-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Lowry
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
58.9% (1,096)
-9.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
68.4% (57)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
51.8% (222)
-9.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
50.2% (671)
57.0% (646)
Away
47.8% (709)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
48.4%
55.9%
P2
50.1%
55.4%
P3
47.8%
62.0%
OT
66.7%
70.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |