Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Staal 56.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Staal
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Lowry
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
58.9% (1,041)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
53.4% (73)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
49.1% (171)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
53.4% (515)
59.0% (578)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
54.2%
57.1%
P2
54.4%
60.9%
P3
50.8%
55.8%
OT
37.5%
20.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |