Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 61.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Lowry
Staal
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Lowry
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
56.7% (750)
+1.9%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
62.5% (120)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
46.4% (153)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
61.0% (602)
58.8% (522)
Away
53.7% (514)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
57.3%
60.8%
P2
58.1%
55.9%
P3
57.4%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
61.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |