Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Backlund 50.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Lowry
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lowry
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.5% (983)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
49.4% (87)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
45.3% (159)
-3.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backlund
Home
53.4% (515)
51.6% (653)
Away
52.6% (549)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Lowry
Backlund
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
49.8%
P3
50.8%
51.7%
OT
37.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |