Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Backlund 49.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 63-48 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lowry
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
63
-
48
(111 meetings)
63
48
Lowry
Backlund
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
26
16
Lowry
Backlund
42 total
Defensive Zone
Even
19
19
Lowry
Backlund
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
18
13
Lowry
Backlund
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
49.7% (13,410)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
51.6% (1,336)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
44.0% (2,446)
+0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backlund
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Lowry
Backlund
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
51.8%
50.3%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
46.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |