Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Backlund 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lowry
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lowry
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
50.1% (891)
+5.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
53.1% (64)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
47.8% (278)
-7.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backlund
Home
54.5% (402)
48.1% (580)
Away
53.3% (368)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Lowry
Backlund
P1
52.4%
45.1%
P2
56.0%
54.7%
P3
54.2%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
58.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |