Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Backlund 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Lowry
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Lowry
Backlund
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.0% (1,205)
-1.7%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
59.3% (108)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
42.3% (234)
+0.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backlund
Home
50.2% (671)
51.2% (782)
Away
47.8% (709)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Lowry
Backlund
P1
48.4%
51.5%
P2
50.1%
49.8%
P3
47.8%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |