Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Lowry
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Backlund
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Lowry
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
50.4% (1,032)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
52.3% (107)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
40.6% (313)
+2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backlund
Home
53.0% (583)
48.7% (749)
Away
50.6% (605)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Lowry
Backlund
P1
52.1%
50.4%
P2
51.8%
50.1%
P3
52.3%
45.8%
OT
25.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |