Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lowry
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.9% (245)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
0.0% (3)
+54.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
57.1% (7)
-14.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
53.4% (515)
53.2% (111)
Away
52.6% (549)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
54.2%
44.6%
P2
54.4%
61.4%
P3
50.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |