Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
24
(45 meetings)
21
24
Lowry
Bjugstad
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
14
Lowry
Bjugstad
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
13
6
Lowry
Bjugstad
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
4
Lowry
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.6% (6,634)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
55.2% (829)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
44.3% (614)
+0.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
51.5%
49.0%
P2
51.8%
49.1%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
46.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |