Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lowry
Bjugstad
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Lowry
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.4% (867)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
56.0% (25)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
40.7% (216)
-0.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
52.4% (597)
46.5% (480)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
48.5%
48.7%
P2
52.2%
45.6%
P3
50.5%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |