Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lowry
Bjugstad
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Lowry
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
50.7% (906)
-1.4%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
48.1% (108)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
44.4% (239)
-1.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
50.2% (671)
49.8% (643)
Away
47.8% (709)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
48.4%
49.4%
P2
50.1%
50.5%
P3
47.8%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |