Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
48.9% (280)
+6.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (6)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
47.2% (36)
-6.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
54.5% (402)
48.4% (190)
Away
53.3% (368)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
52.4%
41.7%
P2
56.0%
56.6%
P3
54.2%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |