Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 92.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
7
(25 meetings)
18
7
Lowry
Hartman
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
3
Lowry
Hartman
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
44.8% (936)
+11.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
49.4% (154)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
33.3% (54)
+9.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
53.4% (515)
47.4% (568)
Away
52.6% (549)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
54.2%
47.2%
P2
54.4%
43.4%
P3
50.8%
43.8%
OT
37.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |