Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 41-25 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 94.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
25
(66 meetings)
41
25
Lowry
Hartman
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
10
12
Lowry
Hartman
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
16
5
Lowry
Hartman
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
8
Lowry
Hartman
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
45.2% (4,235)
+7.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
47.4% (443)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
42.4% (262)
+2.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
53.5% (5,893)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
51.5%
46.0%
P2
51.8%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
46.8%
OT
46.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |