Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Hartman 45.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Lowry
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
44.8% (830)
+10.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
47.8% (92)
+35.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
37.5% (16)
+2.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
54.5% (402)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.3% (368)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
52.4%
46.5%
P2
56.0%
39.9%
P3
54.2%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |