Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Hartman 48.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Lowry
Hartman
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
48.1% (520)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
44.7% (47)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
47.8% (23)
-5.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
53.0% (583)
48.3% (360)
Away
50.6% (605)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
52.1%
48.5%
P2
51.8%
45.2%
P3
52.3%
49.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |