Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Hartman 47.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lowry
Hartman
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Lowry
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Lowry
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
47.1% (649)
+2.2%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
47.1% (68)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
45.2% (73)
-2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
50.2% (671)
46.5% (361)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
48.4%
45.1%
P2
50.1%
44.4%
P3
47.8%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |