Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Hartman 44.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Lowry
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lowry
Hartman
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
42.6% (495)
+10.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
38.5% (26)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.8% (43)
-8.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hartman
Home
52.4% (597)
43.4% (288)
Away
48.4% (583)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Lowry
Hartman
P1
48.5%
43.1%
P2
52.2%
43.4%
P3
50.5%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |