Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
44.3% (1,117)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
52.4% (208)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (40)
51.6% (31)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.2% (425)
47.6% (655)
Away
45.3% (426)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.6%
43.9%
P2
39.8%
46.8%
P3
48.5%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |