Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
47.6% (231)
+7.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
83.3% (12)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
33.3% (21)
+7.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.5% (402)
51.2% (164)
Away
53.3% (368)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.4%
50.0%
P2
56.0%
46.2%
P3
54.2%
49.5%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%