Adam Lowry vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
50.3% (479)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (28)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
30.0% (50)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.0% (583)
48.9% (270)
Away
50.6% (605)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Lowry
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.1%
48.7%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
52.3%
47.3%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |